Frosinone vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
ABN
1 - 1
FRO
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
TRE
3 - 0
FRO
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 2
FRO
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2007 |
MOD
1 - 1
ARZ
45%
30%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
MOD
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
MOD
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
MOD
1 - 1
VIC
58%
26%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |