Serie B Round 21

Frosinone vs Modena analysis

Frosinone Modena
61 ELO 68
-3.8% Tilt -1.4%
179º General ELO ranking 475º
24º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
37.7%
Frosinone
27.4%
Draw
34.9%
Modena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Frosinone
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.9%
Win probability
Modena
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frosinone
-5%
-3%
Modena

ELO progression

Frosinone
Modena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frosinone
Frosinone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2007
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
1 - 1
Frosinone
FRO
55%
24%
21%
61 67 6 0
13 Jan. 2007
FRO
Frosinone
1 - 1
Crotone
CRO
42%
27%
31%
61 65 4 0
22 Dec. 2006
TRE
Treviso
3 - 0
Frosinone
FRO
44%
27%
30%
62 63 1 -1
19 Dec. 2006
FRO
Frosinone
2 - 1
Hellas Verona
VER
53%
25%
22%
62 61 1 0
16 Dec. 2006
GEN
Genoa
3 - 2
Frosinone
FRO
66%
20%
14%
62 69 7 0

Matches

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2007
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
SS Arezzo
ARZ
45%
30%
26%
69 68 1 0
13 Jan. 2007
TRI
Triestina
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
38%
28%
34%
69 65 4 0
22 Dec. 2006
MOD
Modena
0 - 0
Napoli
NAP
42%
30%
28%
69 71 2 0
19 Dec. 2006
MAN
Mantova
1 - 0
Modena
MOD
41%
29%
30%
70 68 2 -1
16 Dec. 2006
MOD
Modena
1 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
58%
26%
16%
70 60 10 0