Norwegian Fourth Division Group 3 Round 20

Frigg vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis

Frigg Sarpsborg 08 II
49 ELO 35
26% Tilt 29.6%
4309º General ELO ranking 6832º
63º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
80%
Frigg
12.3%
Draw
7.6%
Sarpsborg 08 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
Frigg
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.6%
Win probability
Sarpsborg 08 II
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frigg
+17%
+28%
Sarpsborg 08 II

Points and table prediction

Frigg
Their league position
Sarpsborg 08 II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
13º
38
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Asker
62
62
100%
Nordstrand
59
59
100%
Frigg
55
55
100%
Gamle Oslo
53
53
100%
Bærum
46
46
100%
Sarpsborg 08 II
38
38
100%
Oppsal
33
33
100%
KFUM Oslo II
32
32
0%
Ullern
32
32
0%
Åssiden IF
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Flint
11º
29
29
11º
100%
Skeid II
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Askollen FK
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Mjøndalen IF II
14º
11
11
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Frigg
Sarpsborg 08 II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Frigg
Sarpsborg 08 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frigg
Frigg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2024
KFU
KFUM Oslo II
3 - 3
Frigg
FRI
18%
19%
62%
49 33 16 0
24 Aug. 2024
FRI
Frigg
3 - 1
Asker
ASK
58%
20%
22%
48 46 2 +1
20 Aug. 2024
MJO
Mjøndalen IF II
0 - 1
Frigg
FRI
7%
11%
81%
47 24 23 +1
10 Aug. 2024
FRI
Frigg
3 - 3
Flint
IFL
87%
9%
4%
47 29 18 0
11 Jul. 2024
SKE
Skeid II
4 - 3
Frigg
FRI
5%
12%
83%
49 22 27 -2

Matches

Sarpsborg 08 II
Sarpsborg 08 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2024
SAR
Sarpsborg 08 II
2 - 1
Oppsal
OPP
55%
20%
25%
35 32 3 0
26 Aug. 2024
NOR
Nordstrand
3 - 0
Sarpsborg 08 II
SAR
71%
17%
12%
35 48 13 0
19 Aug. 2024
SAR
Sarpsborg 08 II
1 - 1
Gamle Oslo
GOF
66%
17%
17%
35 28 7 0
12 Aug. 2024
BAR
Bærum
2 - 2
Sarpsborg 08 II
SAR
73%
15%
13%
35 43 8 0
13 Jul. 2024
SAR
Sarpsborg 08 II
1 - 1
Ullern
ULL
43%
22%
35%
35 37 2 0