Fresno Fuego vs Ventura County Fusion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 3
FRE
21%
19%
60%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 2
SDZ
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 3
GSC
94%
5%
2%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SCB
5 - 1
FRE
9%
14%
78%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 3
GSF
46%
23%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
SCB
2 - 0
VEN
44%
21%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 2
SEA
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
VEN
4 - 0
GSC
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2018 |
GSF
4 - 2
VEN
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
VEN
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |