Fresno Fuego vs Seahorses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 1
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 2
FRE
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
OGD
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
BYU
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 1
OCP
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Seahorses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
SEA
2 - 4
TUC
26%
25%
50%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SEA
4 - 0
OCP
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
GSM
2 - 2
SEA
59%
20%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
SEA
1 - 3
GSM
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BYU
5 - 1
SEA
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |