Fresno de La Ribera vs UD Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 0
FRE
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 2
ZAM
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 3
FRE
79%
12%
9%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 4
CAR
24%
22%
55%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CDV
2 - 1
FRE
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
STM
1 - 1
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CDN
0 - 5
STM
7%
17%
75%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
STM
1 - 0
CDL
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDO
0 - 2
STM
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
STM
0 - 0
LEO
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |