Fresno de La Ribera vs Morales de Toro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 2
FRE
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
FRE
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GCE
3 - 1
FRE
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 3
MOR
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TOR
5 - 1
FRE
64%
18%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BOV
21%
19%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
MOR
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
SAC
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 3
MOR
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 0
ATL
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |