Fresno de La Ribera vs Morales de Toro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
TOR
5 - 1
FRE
64%
18%
19%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FRE
4 - 3
RCB
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
COR
5 - 1
FRE
82%
11%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 2
ZAM
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 3
FRE
59%
19%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MOR
4 - 0
ATL
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
IZA
2 - 1
MOR
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
SAN
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GCE
3 - 1
MOR
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |