Combined Counties League Essex Senior League Round 3

Frenford FC vs Tilbury analysis

Frenford FC Tilbury
15 ELO 25
3.8% Tilt -3.8%
14551º General ELO ranking 9924º
808º Country ELO ranking 486º
ELO win probability
18.5%
Frenford FC
18.4%
Draw
63.1%
Tilbury

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
Frenford FC
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
63%
Win probability
Tilbury
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frenford FC
+52%
+19%
Tilbury

ELO progression

Frenford FC
Tilbury
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frenford FC
Frenford FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
FFC
Frenford FC
3 - 2
Stanway Rovers FC
STA
16%
18%
66%
14 24 10 0
12 Sep. 2023
FFC
Frenford FC
3 - 2
Romford
ROM
8%
14%
78%
11 29 18 +3
09 Sep. 2023
ESS
West Essex
3 - 0
Frenford FC
FFC
87%
9%
4%
11 33 22 0
23 Aug. 2023
ANF
Athletic Newham
2 - 1
Frenford FC
FFC
89%
8%
3%
11 40 29 0
15 Aug. 2023
WEN
White Ensign
2 - 0
Frenford FC
FFC
88%
9%
4%
11 25 14 0

Matches

Tilbury
Tilbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
TAK
Takeley
0 - 3
Tilbury
TIL
63%
19%
18%
23 29 6 0
13 Sep. 2023
WEN
White Ensign
1 - 1
Tilbury
TIL
51%
21%
29%
22 24 2 +1
09 Sep. 2023
TIL
Tilbury
3 - 1
Halstead Town
HAL
22%
20%
58%
20 29 9 +2
28 Aug. 2023
TIL
Tilbury
0 - 2
Romford
ROM
26%
22%
52%
21 26 5 -1
15 Aug. 2023
TIL
Tilbury
3 - 1
Sporting Bengal United
SPO
70%
16%
14%
20 14 6 +1