Freienbach vs Tuggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
55.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
5º
16º
14º
53
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freienbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
6 - 0
FRE
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 2
TAV
65%
18%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 3
FRE
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 3
ESC
61%
18%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
KOS
1 - 1
FRE
27%
22%
51%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 1
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 3
TUG
20%
21%
59%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TUG
2 - 1
UZW
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TUG
3 - 1
KRE
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TUG
4 - 0
FCW
74%
15%
11%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |