Bundesliga U19 Group E Round 4

Freiburg U19 vs Ulm U19 analysis

Freiburg U19 Ulm U19
27 ELO 17
14.1% Tilt -2.2%
10054º General ELO ranking 14201º
479º Country ELO ranking 624º
ELO win probability
81.9%
Freiburg U19
10.9%
Draw
7.3%
Ulm U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
7.3%
Win probability
Ulm U19
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg U19
-15%
+9%
Ulm U19

ELO progression

Freiburg U19
Ulm U19
FC Augsburg U19
1860 München U19
Unterhaching U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Aug. 2025
FRE
Freiburg U19
2 - 4
1860 München U19
MUN
52%
20%
28%
28 29 1 0
02 Aug. 2025
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
2 - 4
Freiburg U19
FRE
45%
23%
33%
27 25 2 +1
17 Jul. 2025
BAH
Bahlinger SC
4 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
86%
10%
4%
27 57 30 0
17 May. 2025
FRE
Freiburg U19
3 - 0
Reutlingen U19
RTL
76%
13%
10%
26 19 7 +1
10 May. 2025
DAR
Darmstadt 98 U19
2 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
27%
22%
52%
27 21 6 -1

Matches

Ulm U19
Ulm U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2025
SSU
Ulm U19
3 - 1
Stuttgarter Kickers U19
STU
16%
17%
67%
14 24 10 0
09 Aug. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
0 - 0
Ulm U19
SSU
86%
9%
5%
14 25 11 0
02 Aug. 2025
SSU
Ulm U19
1 - 2
Bayern München U19
BYM
6%
11%
83%
14 41 27 0
10 May. 2025
SSU
Ulm U19
1 - 4
Gonsenheim U19
GOS
43%
21%
36%
16 16 0 -2
04 May. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
7 - 2
Ulm U19
SSU
78%
13%
9%
16 24 8 0