A-Junioren Bundesliga Sur / Suroeste round 10

Freiburg U19 vs Nürnberg U19 analysis

Freiburg U19 Nürnberg U19
20 ELO 15
6.8% Tilt -5.2%
9388º General ELO ranking 9090º
453º Country ELO ranking 443º
ELO win probability
71.4%
Freiburg U19
16.4%
Draw
12.2%
Nürnberg U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12.2%
Win probability
Nürnberg U19
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg U19
-15%
+13%
Nürnberg U19

ELO progression

Freiburg U19
Nürnberg U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2018
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
1 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
87%
9%
4%
18 33 15 0
21 Oct. 2018
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
1 - 3
Freiburg U19
FRE
69%
17%
14%
18 21 3 0
29 Sep. 2018
FRE
Freiburg U19
2 - 1
FSV Frankfurt U19
FSV
90%
7%
3%
18 11 7 0
22 Sep. 2018
ING
Ingolstadt U19
0 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
59%
20%
21%
17 19 2 +1
15 Sep. 2018
FRE
Freiburg U19
4 - 4
Bayern München U19
BYM
17%
21%
62%
16 27 11 +1

Matches

Nürnberg U19
Nürnberg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2018
NUR
Nürnberg U19
2 - 2
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
22%
21%
57%
15 20 5 0
21 Oct. 2018
FSV
FSV Frankfurt U19
0 - 3
Nürnberg U19
NUR
23%
20%
56%
14 10 4 +1
29 Sep. 2018
NUR
Nürnberg U19
0 - 1
Ingolstadt U19
ING
35%
22%
43%
15 18 3 -1
23 Sep. 2018
BYM
Bayern München U19
1 - 0
Nürnberg U19
NUR
84%
11%
5%
16 26 10 -1
16 Sep. 2018
NUR
Nürnberg U19
1 - 4
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
23%
21%
57%
16 22 6 0