A-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest. Jor. 25

Freiburg Sub 19 vs Mainz 05 Sub 19 analysis

Freiburg Sub 19 Mainz 05 Sub 19
19 ELO 22
9.8% Tilt -5.7%
27409º General ELO ranking 7701º
1198º Country ELO ranking 315º
ELO win probability
44.9%
Freiburg Sub 19
22.5%
Draw
32.7%
Mainz 05 Sub 19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
Freiburg Sub 19
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32.7%
Win probability
Mainz 05 Sub 19
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg Sub 19
+28%
-24%
Mainz 05 Sub 19

ELO progression

Freiburg Sub 19
Mainz 05 Sub 19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg Sub 19
Freiburg Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2017
HOF
Hoffenheim Sub 19
0 - 1
Freiburg Sub 19
FRE
71%
17%
12%
19 24 5 0
08 Apr. 2017
FRE
Freiburg Sub 19
3 - 1
1860 München Sub 19
MUN
61%
20%
19%
19 17 2 0
01 Apr. 2017
STU
Stuttgarter Kickers Sub 19
1 - 2
Freiburg Sub 19
FRE
32%
24%
44%
17 13 4 +2
12 Mar. 2017
KAR
Karlsruher SC Sub 19
1 - 1
Freiburg Sub 19
FRE
40%
24%
36%
18 16 2 -1
04 Mar. 2017
FRE
Freiburg Sub 19
4 - 4
Eintracht Frankfurt Sub 19
FRA
59%
20%
20%
19 17 2 -1

Matches

Mainz 05 Sub 19
Mainz 05 Sub 19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2017
MAI
Mainz 05 Sub 19
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt Sub 19
FRA
63%
20%
17%
21 17 4 0
09 Apr. 2017
GRE
Greuther Fürth Sub 19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 Sub 19
MAI
33%
22%
45%
22 17 5 -1
02 Apr. 2017
MAI
Mainz 05 Sub 19
3 - 0
VfB Stuttgart Sub 19
STU
62%
20%
17%
20 17 3 +2
12 Mar. 2017
ING
Ingolstadt Sub 19
2 - 3
Mainz 05 Sub 19
MAI
26%
21%
54%
21 17 4 -1
04 Mar. 2017
MAI
Mainz 05 Sub 19
2 - 2
FC Augsburg Sub 19
AUG
52%
23%
25%
21 20 1 0
X