Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 10

Freiburg U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Freiburg U19 Mainz 05 U19
43 ELO 33
10.6% Tilt 16.1%
10090º General ELO ranking 8265º
482º Country ELO ranking 408º
ELO win probability
70.9%
Freiburg U19
17%
Draw
12.1%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.1%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Freiburg U19
-28%
-1%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Freiburg U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2011
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
2 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
31%
24%
45%
43 35 8 0
29 Oct. 2011
FRE
Freiburg U19
3 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
71%
17%
13%
43 31 12 0
22 Oct. 2011
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
0 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
20%
21%
59%
42 30 12 +1
02 Oct. 2011
FRE
Freiburg U19
5 - 0
Saarbrücken U19
SAA
80%
13%
7%
42 25 17 0
24 Sep. 2011
BYM
Bayern München U19
0 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
31%
23%
46%
41 34 7 +1

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
Nürnberg U19
NUR
39%
23%
38%
31 36 5 0
29 Oct. 2011
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
50%
23%
27%
33 34 1 -2
23 Oct. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 0
Unterhaching U19
UNT
77%
14%
9%
32 22 10 +1
02 Oct. 2011
MUN
1860 München U19
5 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
47%
24%
29%
34 35 1 -2
25 Sep. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
Waldhof Mannheim U19
WAL
78%
13%
8%
34 22 12 0