Freiberg vs SSV Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
NOT
1 - 1
FRE
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 3
CRA
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
FCE
1 - 3
FRE
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
FRE
0 - 1
SGS
62%
20%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
FRE
1 - 2
SVS
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
ULM
4 - 0
NOR
89%
8%
3%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HEI
3 - 1
ULM
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
ULM
3 - 1
VFR
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HOF
0 - 3
ULM
20%
23%
56%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ULM
6 - 2
PFO
86%
9%
4%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |