Freiberg vs Nottingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
2 - 1
FRE
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 2
NEC
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 1
FRE
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 3
KIR
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
STU
1 - 2
FRE
56%
22%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 1
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 0
KIR
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 0
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 1
BAH
63%
20%
16%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 3
NOT
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |