Freeport vs Nimba Kwado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
10º
14º
11º
37
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freeport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 2
PYC
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 0
FRE
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
BEA
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 0
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FRE
1 - 2
MUS
44%
22%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nimba Kwado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NKW
1 - 1
LIS
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 0
NKW
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NKW
1 - 0
WAT
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
NKW
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NKW
1 - 1
CCE
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |