Fredrikstad vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
FFK
1 - 1
BRY
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
VKG
0 - 2
FFK
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
FFK
3 - 2
LYN
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
VIF
1 - 1
FFK
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
FFK
6 - 0
BBS
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
VKG
2 - 1
MOS
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
MOS
2 - 2
VIF
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
SKH
0 - 0
MOS
46%
25%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
MOS
2 - 1
HAM
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
LSK
0 - 0
MOS
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |