Fredrikstad vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MJO
2 - 3
FFK
27%
25%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FFK
3 - 0
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FFK
3 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
ASK
3 - 2
FFK
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 3
FFK
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HON
2 - 3
MOS
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ASK
4 - 0
HON
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HON
0 - 3
ALT
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
GRO
4 - 0
HON
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
3 - 3
HON
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |