Frederikssund IK vs Avarta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
8º
7º
23
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 15 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 60.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 39.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frederikssund IK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
VEJ
2 - 0
FRE
57%
21%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
ISH
3 - 1
FRE
8%
13%
79%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LSF
3 - 0
FRE
22%
22%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 1
NAS
65%
19%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 3
FRE
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
RIN
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
AVA
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ISH
5 - 2
AVA
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BFR
3 - 1
AVA
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AKA
3 - 0
AVA
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |