Fredensborg BI vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredensborg BI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
FCO
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
1 - 2
FRE
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
FRE
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 4
ABT
43%
23%
34%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HER
0 - 4
FRE
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
BGA
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BGA
0 - 1
FA2
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
BGA
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NBB
2 - 1
BGA
36%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BGA
1 - 2
B19
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |