Fraserburgh vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 0
CIV
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LOS
1 - 1
FRA
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 4
BRO
35%
25%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
WIC
3 - 0
FRA
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KEI
0 - 2
BUC
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 5
KEI
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 1
KEI
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KEI
1 - 1
CLA
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
KEI
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |