European U21 Championship qualifying Round 3

Francia U21 vs Islandia U21 analysis

Francia U21 Islandia U21
82 ELO 59
-7.1% Tilt 7.5%
448º General ELO ranking 2816º
22º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
75.3%
Francia U21
17.2%
Draw
7.5%
Islandia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
Francia U21
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
7.5%
Win probability
Islandia U21
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Francia U21
-4%
+25%
Islandia U21

ELO progression

Francia U21
Islandia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Francia U21
Francia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2016
UKR
Ucrania U21
1 - 0
Francia U21
FRA
19%
23%
58%
83 67 16 0
02 Jun. 2016
ITA
Italia U21
0 - 1
Francia U21
FRA
40%
26%
35%
82 82 0 +1
28 Mar. 2016
FRA
Francia U21
1 - 1
Macedonia del Norte U21
MKD
78%
16%
6%
82 53 29 0
24 Mar. 2016
FRA
Francia U21
2 - 0
Escocia U21
SCO
74%
18%
9%
82 59 23 0
15 Nov. 2015
MKD
Macedonia del Norte U21
2 - 2
Francia U21
FRA
8%
16%
76%
82 53 29 0

Matches

Islandia U21
Islandia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2016
NIR
Irlanda del Norte U21
0 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
14%
18%
68%
60 41 19 0
24 Mar. 2016
MKD
Macedonia del Norte U21
0 - 0
Islandia U21
ISL
27%
26%
47%
60 53 7 0
13 Oct. 2015
SCO
Escocia U21
0 - 0
Islandia U21
ISL
43%
25%
32%
60 60 0 0
08 Oct. 2015
UKR
Ucrania U21
0 - 1
Islandia U21
ISL
61%
22%
18%
59 69 10 +1
08 Sep. 2015
ISL
Islandia U21
1 - 1
Irlanda del Norte U21
NIR
76%
16%
8%
59 42 17 0