UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals

Global 4-1

Francia U21 vs Alemania U21 analysis

Francia U21 Alemania U21
77 ELO 74
-5.6% Tilt -9.6%
454º General ELO ranking 350º
23º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
53.1%
Francia U21
25%
Draw
21.9%
Alemania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
Francia U21
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.9%
Win probability
Alemania U21
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Francia U21
+2%
+13%
Alemania U21

ELO progression

Francia U21
Alemania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Francia U21
Francia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 1996
GER
Alemania U21
0 - 0
Francia U21
FRA
54%
25%
22%
76 75 1 0
15 Nov. 1995
FRA
Francia U21
3 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
74%
17%
9%
75 63 12 +1
10 Oct. 1995
ROU
Rumanía U21
0 - 0
Francia U21
FRA
32%
27%
42%
76 65 11 -1
06 Sep. 1995
FRA
Francia U21
5 - 0
Azerbaiyán U21
AZE
76%
17%
8%
75 52 23 +1
16 Aug. 1995
FRA
Francia U21
4 - 1
Polonia U21
POL
70%
19%
11%
75 64 11 0

Matches

Alemania U21
Alemania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 1996
GER
Alemania U21
0 - 0
Dinamarca U21
DEN
68%
19%
13%
74 66 8 0
13 Mar. 1996
GER
Alemania U21
0 - 0
Francia U21
FRA
54%
25%
22%
75 76 1 -1
20 Feb. 1996
POR
Portugal U21
3 - 3
Alemania U21
GER
43%
27%
31%
75 71 4 0
14 Nov. 1995
GER
Alemania U21
7 - 0
Bulgaria U21
BGR
62%
22%
16%
74 70 4 +1
10 Oct. 1995
WAL
Gales U21
1 - 5
Alemania U21
GER
30%
27%
43%
74 59 15 0