Francavilla Calcio vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
INT
0 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRI
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
FRA
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
MAR
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 0
VIR
43%
25%
33%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 0
FOR
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 2
NAR
19%
23%
59%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
SAR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 1
NAR
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAS
3 - 2
NAR
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |