Francana vs Taboão da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
4 - 0
CAP
31%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 2
OSV
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 3
BAR
43%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
FRA
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Taboão da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
INT
3 - 0
TAB
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
0 - 0
BAR
24%
24%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TAB
2 - 2
BAT
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
TAB
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
0 - 1
TAB
66%
19%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |