Francana vs São José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 1
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
COM
0 - 2
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
1 - 1
COM
16%
24%
61%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 1
FLA
32%
28%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
4 - 2
FRA
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 1
COM
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 2
SAO
41%
27%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
SAO
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAO
4 - 2
FRA
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |