Francana vs Brasilis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BER
4 - 1
FRA
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 0
VOC
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
OSV
1 - 0
FRA
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 0
OSV
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
VOC
1 - 0
FRA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brasilis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BFC
0 - 2
OSA
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
AAI
1 - 0
BFC
68%
17%
15%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 2
BFC
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 2
SAO
13%
18%
68%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BFC
1 - 2
AAI
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |