Fraga vs UD San José analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CDG
1 - 0
FRA
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 3
CDJ
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
FRA
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 2
RSD
76%
14%
9%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDA
0 - 1
FRA
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
UDS
2 - 0
ADA
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDA
7 - 2
UDS
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
UDS
4 - 1
CDC
32%
24%
44%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CFP
4 - 1
UDS
42%
24%
35%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
UDS
3 - 0
SPO
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |