Fosses vs Spy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
57.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fosses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 2
FOS
53%
20%
27%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 0
FOS
66%
17%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FOS
1 - 1
NIS
26%
20%
54%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FOS
4 - 0
MOL
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 2
FOS
56%
20%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MOL
1 - 6
SPY
23%
21%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SPY
3 - 1
GRA
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SPY
2 - 0
WEP
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +4 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NIS
1 - 3
SPY
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SPY
3 - 1
LIG
54%
20%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |