Fossano Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
76.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fossano Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FOS
4 - 1
LAV
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
GOZ
4 - 0
FOS
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ACS
2 - 0
FOS
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FOS
1 - 0
DER
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
DER
4 - 2
FOS
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAV
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PDH
2 - 2
NOV
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
4 - 0
ACS
88%
10%
2%
|
52 | 26 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOV
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NOV
4 - 1
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |