Forward Madison vs Northern Colorado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
6º
62
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
FMA
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
OKS
0 - 0
FMA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
4 - 1
GTR
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
FMA
2 - 3
CAC
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Colorado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
OKS
1 - 2
NCO
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
OMA
3 - 2
NCO
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
COR
3 - 1
NCO
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIC
0 - 0
NCO
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
COL
1 - 3
NCO
42%
23%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |