Fortuna Sittard vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 5
AJA
10%
16%
74%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FEY
5 - 3
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 3
UTR
16%
22%
63%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 1
NEC
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 0
WIL
29%
24%
46%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HER
0 - 1
NEC
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |