Eerste Divisie Round 31

Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis

Fortuna Sittard De Graafschap
53 ELO 59
6.3% Tilt 3.2%
515º General ELO ranking 638º
16º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
31.6%
Fortuna Sittard
24.9%
Draw
43.5%
De Graafschap

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
Fortuna Sittard
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.5%
Win probability
De Graafschap
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Sittard
-2%
-1%
De Graafschap

ELO progression

Fortuna Sittard
De Graafschap
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2017
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
21%
23%
56%
53 66 13 0
10 Mar. 2017
VVV
VVV Venlo
4 - 1
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
78%
15%
7%
54 74 20 -1
03 Mar. 2017
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
0 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
30%
27%
43%
54 64 10 0
24 Feb. 2017
FCE
Emmen
2 - 3
Fortuna Sittard
FOR
67%
20%
13%
53 61 8 +1
17 Feb. 2017
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
4 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
50%
23%
27%
51 52 1 +2

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2017
HEL
Helmond Sport
0 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
39%
24%
37%
59 54 5 0
10 Mar. 2017
GRA
De Graafschap
3 - 2
Jong Ajax
JON
32%
24%
44%
58 66 8 +1
03 Mar. 2017
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
31%
24%
46%
57 67 10 +1
24 Feb. 2017
FCD
Dordrecht
0 - 3
De Graafschap
GRA
30%
25%
45%
57 49 8 0
17 Feb. 2017
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 1
SC Telstar
TEL
56%
22%
22%
56 55 1 +1