Fortuna Sittard vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
MVV
0 - 0
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
FCD
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRA
39%
27%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 4
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
TEL
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
FCD
2 - 1
GRA
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
BVO
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRA
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |