Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
FOR
0 - 0
RKC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
RBC
3 - 1
FOR
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
RJC
1 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
FOR
1 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
GRO
4 - 0
FOR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
AZA
2 - 1
UTR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
GRO
1 - 2
AZA
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
AZA
5 - 0
TWE
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
AZA
0 - 2
VIT
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2000 |
AZA
3 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |