Fortuna Sittard Sub 21 vs Heracles Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
61.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 1
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
NAC
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 0
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 4
HER
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 3
FOR
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
BRA
80%
13%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2015 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
ROD
0 - 2
HER
34%
23%
44%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
HER
27%
22%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 4
HER
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |