Fortuna Köln vs Wacker 04 Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1979 |
KFC
2 - 0
KÖL
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
KÖL
1 - 0
AAA
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
KÖL
4 - 2
OSN
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
PRE
2 - 1
KÖL
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
KÖL
4 - 1
HAN
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wacker 04 Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1979 |
WAB
0 - 3
WHE
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
WAT
0 - 0
WAB
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
WAB
2 - 3
TEN
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
WAB
0 - 7
KFC
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
STP
5 - 1
WAB
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |