Fortuna Köln vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
S04
1 - 0
KÖL
15%
21%
65%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
KÖL
0 - 1
BSC
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LIP
0 - 1
KÖL
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
ROT
3 - 3
KÖL
50%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WAT
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
VER
5 - 3
BOR
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 4
VER
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
S04
0 - 2
VER
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
VER
3 - 1
BSC
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
LIP
0 - 5
VER
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |