2. Liga Round 17

Fortuna Köln vs Schalke 04 analysis

Fortuna Köln Schalke 04
70 ELO 78
12.4% Tilt 16.1%
2424º General ELO ranking 437º
108º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
39.9%
Fortuna Köln
25.6%
Draw
34.5%
Schalke 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.5%
Win probability
Schalke 04
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Köln
-3%
-3%
Schalke 04

ELO progression

Fortuna Köln
Schalke 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 1990
WAL
Waldhof Mannheim
2 - 0
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
70 76 6 0
19 Oct. 1990
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
51%
24%
25%
70 73 3 0
13 Oct. 1990
SCH
Schweinfurt
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
34%
26%
40%
70 52 18 0
07 Oct. 1990
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
3 - 1
Havelse
HAV
68%
20%
12%
70 52 18 0
28 Sep. 1990
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
0 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
51%
23%
26%
70 69 1 0

Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Nov. 1990
S04
Schalke 04
4 - 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
69%
17%
14%
78 72 6 0
28 Oct. 1990
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
67%
18%
14%
78 65 13 0
20 Oct. 1990
SCF
SC Freiburg
3 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
40%
27%
34%
78 73 5 0
14 Oct. 1990
S04
Schalke 04
2 - 0
Hannover 96
HAN
66%
19%
15%
78 70 8 0
06 Oct. 1990
VFB
VfB Oldenburg
0 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
30%
25%
45%
78 59 19 0