Regionalliga West round 1

Fortuna Köln vs Köln II analysis

Fortuna Köln Köln II
49 ELO 42
0.4% Tilt -8.5%
3256º General ELO ranking 4062º
91º Country ELO ranking 126º
ELO win probability
55.8%
Fortuna Köln
22.2%
Draw
22%
Köln II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22%
Win probability
Köln II
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Köln
+10%
+16%
Köln II

Points and table prediction

Fortuna Köln
Their league position
Köln II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
52
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Alemannia Aachen
72
75
100%
Wuppertaler SV
61
64
42.5%
FC Bocholt
62
63
42.5%
Fortuna Köln
56
57
100%
Schalke 04 II
54
54
100%
Köln II
52
52
57.5%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
50
51
14%
Wiedenbrück
10º
47
50
30%
Düren
49
49
53%
Rödinghausen
48
49
10º
43%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
11º
45
45
11º
100%
B. Mönchengladbach II
12º
41
42
12º
81.5%
Paderborn 07 II
13º
38
39
13º
53%
Gutersloh
14º
38
39
14º
59.5%
Lippstadt 08
15º
32
32
15º
27.5%
Velbert
16º
32
32
16º
27.5%
Wegberg-Beeck
17º
26
27
17º
100%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fortuna Köln
Köln II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fortuna Köln
Köln II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2023
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 2
Köln
KOL
6%
13%
81%
48 83 35 0
22 Jul. 2023
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
4 - 1
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
42%
24%
34%
48 48 0 0
14 Jul. 2023
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
18%
20%
63%
48 57 9 0
08 Jul. 2023
EIC
VfB Eichstätt
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
28%
24%
48%
48 38 10 0
05 Jul. 2023
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
2 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
76%
16%
8%
48 61 13 0

Matches

Köln II
Köln II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2023
DIE
Köln II
1 - 0
TuS Koblenz
TUS
60%
21%
20%
42 38 4 0
22 Jul. 2023
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 2
Köln II
DIE
79%
14%
8%
42 59 17 0
14 Jul. 2023
DIE
Köln II
0 - 3
Düren
DUR
40%
24%
36%
42 45 3 0
02 Jul. 2023
DIE
Köln II
7 - 2
U Craiova 1948
CRA
11%
20%
69%
42 69 27 0
12 May. 2023
LIP
Lippstadt 08
2 - 1
Köln II
DIE
32%
24%
45%
43 39 4 -1