Fortuna Köln vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HUL
0 - 5
KÖL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 2
MSV
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BER
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WER
2 - 2
KÖL
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2010 |
ROT
4 - 1
ERK
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ERK
0 - 2
WHE
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
ERK
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ERK
2 - 2
WEG
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
ERK
61%
22%
18%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |