Fortuna Köln vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1976 |
WAT
4 - 3
KÖL
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
KÖL
2 - 0
FCM
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
AAA
0 - 0
KÖL
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
WUP
0 - 1
KÖL
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
KÖL
6 - 1
TEN
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1976 |
BVB
6 - 0
ERK
89%
9%
2%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
BVB
2 - 1
DJK
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 1
BVB
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 0
ISC
72%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 0
AAA
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |