Fortuna Köln vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1974 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
KÖL
4 - 0
BAR
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
OFC
4 - 0
KÖL
73%
16%
10%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 0
HSV
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
RTV
2 - 0
KÖL
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
BVB
3 - 1
HAN
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
ARB
1 - 1
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ARG
2 - 1
BVB
18%
19%
64%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
BVB
0 - 2
SCO
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
WHE
2 - 2
BVB
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |