Fortuna Köln vs B. Dortmund II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
S04
1 - 2
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
KÖL
2 - 0
IDA
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIE
3 - 1
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
KÖL
1 - 3
EIN
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
6 - 0
KÖL
58%
24%
19%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 4
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
S04
0 - 4
BOR
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
1 - 1
IDA
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
WIE
1 - 7
BOR
29%
23%
47%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 2
EIN
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |