Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
F95
1 - 1
KFC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
F95
5 - 1
PIR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1999 |
F95
2 - 2
BOR
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BOC
1 - 2
F95
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
ELV
0 - 0
F95
26%
25%
48%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VER
1 - 3
BOC
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
BOR
1 - 1
VER
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
VER
4 - 1
ELV
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PAD
0 - 0
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
VER
0 - 0
EIN
34%
25%
40%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |