Fortuna Düsseldorf vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1985 |
F95
1 - 1
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
STU
5 - 0
F95
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
F95
4 - 0
BYM
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
MON
5 - 1
F95
77%
14%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1985 |
F95
1 - 4
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
BOC
3 - 0
BYM
24%
25%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
MON
2 - 0
BOC
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
BOC
2 - 3
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
LEV
4 - 2
BOC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
BOC
6 - 1
BVB
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |