Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Eintracht Duisburg 1848 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
F95
3 - 0
LSV
80%
12%
8%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
HAM
2 - 2
F95
52%
22%
26%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
F95
3 - 0
SHE
77%
14%
10%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
F95
3 - 2
VIK
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
BOT
1 - 3
F95
49%
22%
29%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Duisburg 1848
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
AAA
4 - 0
EID
83%
12%
6%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
EID
0 - 1
SWE
50%
22%
28%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
EID
1 - 3
LEV
63%
19%
19%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
SHE
2 - 0
EID
62%
19%
20%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
EID
4 - 2
ROT
46%
22%
32%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |