Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COT
1 - 3
F95
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
KAI
0 - 1
F95
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
F95
0 - 2
KSC
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
F95
27%
27%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
F95
1 - 0
SVS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 1
SGD
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
FSV
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
HSV
2 - 1
KOL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
STP
0 - 3
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 1
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |