Regionalliga Occidente. Jor. 12

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf II Bergisch Gladbach
34 ELO 32
-3.5% Tilt 2.9%
4768º General ELO ranking 5837º
146º Country ELO ranking 202º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
23.2%
Draw
25.1%
Bergisch Gladbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.1%
Win probability
Bergisch Gladbach
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
+66%
-11%
Bergisch Gladbach

ELO progression

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Bergisch Gladbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
2 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
71%
18%
11%
34 50 16 0
29 Sep. 2012
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
74%
17%
10%
33 48 15 +1
25 Sep. 2012
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2 - 3
Köln II
DIE
20%
22%
57%
34 46 12 -1
22 Sep. 2012
VER
Verl
1 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
70%
19%
11%
32 48 16 +2
15 Sep. 2012
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1 - 2
Velbert
VEL
49%
23%
28%
33 31 2 -1

Matches

Bergisch Gladbach
Bergisch Gladbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
1 - 5
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
22%
24%
54%
34 47 13 0
29 Sep. 2012
DIE
Köln II
3 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
66%
20%
14%
35 46 11 -1
25 Sep. 2012
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
0 - 1
Verl
VER
28%
26%
46%
36 48 12 -1
22 Sep. 2012
VEL
Velbert
3 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
37%
24%
39%
37 32 5 -1
16 Sep. 2012
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
2 - 1
Rot-Weiss Essen
ROT
22%
24%
55%
35 48 13 +2
X