Fortuna vs CD Montevil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
30.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
+246%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VSQ
0 - 2
FRT
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
FRT
1 - 3
RGJ
22%
19%
59%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
FRT
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
JIN
1 - 0
FRT
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
FRT
4 - 1
AGJ
36%
21%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
CD Montevil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
GPC
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
CMB
25%
20%
55%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAN
7 - 0
CDM
87%
8%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 2
ARE
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
UAS
6 - 1
CDM
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |